2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ondo State

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ondo State
Registered	1,991,344
Turnout	28.62%
President before election; Muhammadu Buhari; APC	Elected President ; TBD;

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ondo State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.^[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Background

Ondo State is a Yoruba-majority southwestern state; politically, the state's 2019 elections were categorized as a continuation of the state's competitiveness as PDP presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar won the state by 6% and the party won two senate seats. However, the APC won five of nine House of Representatives seats and a majority in the House of Assembly. The next year, incumbent Governor Rotimi Akeredolu (APC) won re-election by over 17%.^[2]

Polling

Polling organisation/client	Fieldwork date	Sample size					Others	Undecided	Undisclosed	Not voting
			Tinubu APC	Obi LP	Kwankwaso NNPP	Abubakar PDP

BantuPage	December 2022	N/A	33%	25%	0%	8%	–	15%	7%	12%
BantuPage	January 2023	N/A	44%	15%	0%	7%	–	3%	26%	5%
Nextier (Ondo crosstabs of national poll)	27 January 2023	N/A	47.6%	24.4%	–	22.0%	1.2%	4.9%	–	–
SBM Intelligence for EiE (Ondo crosstabs of national poll)	22 January-6 February 2023	N/A	32%	48%	2%	16%	–	2%	–	–

Projections

Source	Projection		As of
Africa Elects^[a]^[3]	Likely Tinubu		24 February 2023
Dataphyte^[b]^[4]
	Tinubu:	37.86%	11 February 2023
	Obi:	33.36%
	Abubakar:	15.85%
	Others:	12.93%
Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence^[c]^[5]	Obi		17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence^[d]^[6]	Tinubu		15 December 2022
ThisDay^[e]^[7]
	Tinubu:	45%	27 December 2022
	Obi:	10%
	Kwankwaso:	10%
	Abubakar:	20%
	Others/Undecided:	15%
The Nation^[f]^[8]^[9]	Tinubu		12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ondo State^[10]
Party		Candidate	%
	A	Christopher Imumolen
	AA	Hamza al-Mustapha
	ADP	Yabagi Sani
	APP	Osita Nnadi
	AAC	Omoyele Sowore
	ADC	Dumebi Kachikwu
	APC	Bola Tinubu
	APGA	Peter Umeadi
	APM	Princess Chichi Ojei
	BP	Sunday Adenuga
	LP	Peter Obi
	NRM	Felix Johnson Osakwe
	New Nigeria Peoples Party	Rabiu Kwankwaso
	PRP	Kola Abiola
	PDP	Atiku Abubakar
	SDP	Adewole Adebayo
	YPP	Malik Ado-Ibrahim
	ZLP	Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes			100.00%
Invalid or blank votes			N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
									Others
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Ondo Central Senatorial District^[g]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ondo North Senatorial District^[h]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ondo South Senatorial District^[i]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	369,924	67.14%	115,463	20.95%	47,350	8.59%	930	0.17%	17,341	3.15%	551,008

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
									Others
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Akoko North East/Akoko North West Federal Constituency^[j]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Akoko South East/Akoko South West Federal Constituency^[k]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Akure North/Akure South Federal Constituency^[l]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Idanre/Ifedore Federal Constituency^[m]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ilaje/Eseodo Federal Constituency^[n]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ile-oluji/Okeigbo/Odigbo Federal Constituency^[o]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Irele/Okitipupa Federal Constituency^[p]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ondo East/Ondo West Federal Constituency^[q]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Owo/Ose Federal Constituency^[r]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	369,924	67.14%	115,463	20.95%	47,350	8.59%	930	0.17%	17,341	3.15%	551,008

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes	Turnout (%)
									Others
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Akoko North-East	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Akoko North-West	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Akoko South-East	10,765	73.99%	3,016	20.73%	470	3.23%	7	0.05%	291	2.00%	14,549	36.42%
Akoko South-West	28,367	79.73%	5,376	15.11%	920	2.59%	28	0.08%	886	2.49%	35,577	33.77%
Akure North	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Akure South	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ese Odo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Idanre	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ifedore	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ilaje	19,173	%	6,780	%	1,143	%	17	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ile Oluji/Okeigbo	14,750	62.59%	6,199	26.31%	1,076	4.57%	27	0.11%	1,514	6.42%	23,566	30.99%
Irele	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Odigbo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Okitipupa	26,114	64.02%	12,025	29.48%	1,826	4.48%	19	0.05%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ondo East	8,390	55.38%	3,912	25.83%	2,004	13.23%	55	0.36%	788	5.20%	15,149	31.37%
Ondo West	24,053	57.97%	8,534	20.57%	6,171	14.87%	161	0.39%	2,575	6.21%	41,494	23.37%
Ose	14,376	66.43%	4,767	22.03%	2,031	9.39%	23	0.11%	443	2.05%	21,640	31.73%
Owo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Totals	369,924	67.14%	115,463	20.95%	47,350	8.59%	930	0.17%	17,341	3.15%	551,008	28.62%

Notes

^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
^ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
^ Comprising the local government areas of Akure North, Akure South, Idanre, Ifedore, Ondo East, and Ondo West.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Akoko North-East, Akoko North-West, Akoko South-East, Akoko South-West, Ose, and Owo.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Ese Odo, Ilaje, Ile Oluji/Okeigbo, Irele, Odigbo, and Okitipupa.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Akoko North-East and Akoko North-West.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Akoko South-East and Akoko South-West.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Akure North and Akure South.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Idanre and Ifedore.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Ilaje and Ese Odo.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Ile Oluji/Okeigbo and Odigbo.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Irele and Okitipupa.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Ondo East and Ondo West.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Ose and Owo.

References

^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
^ Alabi, Mojeed; Olufemi, Alfred. "UPDATED: OndoDecides2020: Akeredolu wins Ondo governorship election". Premium Times. Retrieved 28 January 2023.
^ Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
^ Johnson, Dayo. "Polls: Tinubu beats Atiku with 246,477 votes in Ondo". Vanguard. Retrieved 27 February 2023.

[3] Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".

[5] Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.

[7] EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.

[9] SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).

[11] ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.

[13] The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."

[17] Comprising the local government areas of Akure North, Akure South, Idanre, Ifedore, Ondo East, and Ondo West.

[18] Comprising the local government areas of Akoko North-East, Akoko North-West, Akoko South-East, Akoko South-West, Ose, and Owo.

[19] Comprising the local government areas of Ese Odo, Ilaje, Ile Oluji/Okeigbo, Irele, Odigbo, and Okitipupa.

[20] Comprising the local government areas of Akoko North-East and Akoko North-West.

[21] Comprising the local government areas of Akoko South-East and Akoko South-West.

[22] Comprising the local government areas of Akure North and Akure South.

[23] Comprising the local government areas of Idanre and Ifedore.

[24] Comprising the local government areas of Ilaje and Ese Odo.

[25] Comprising the local government areas of Ile Oluji/Okeigbo and Odigbo.

[26] Comprising the local government areas of Irele and Okitipupa.

[27] Comprising the local government areas of Ondo East and Ondo West.

[28] Comprising the local government areas of Ose and Owo.

[New_Dates-1] Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.

[2] Alabi, Mojeed; Olufemi, Alfred. "UPDATED: OndoDecides2020: Akeredolu wins Ondo governorship election". Premium Times. Retrieved 28 January 2023.

[Africa_Elects_state_ratings-4] Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.

[Dataphyte_February_projections-6] "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.

[EiE-SBM_February_projections-8] "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[10] "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.

[ThisDay_December_projections-12] "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.

[TN_February_projections-14] Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[15] Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[16] Johnson, Dayo. "Polls: Tinubu beats Atiku with 246,477 votes in Ondo". Vanguard. Retrieved 27 February 2023.

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v t e (2022 ←) 2023 Nigerian elections (→ 2024)
President	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Senate	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
House of Representatives	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Governors	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Enugu Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Houses of Assembly	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Local	Zamfara
Statewide	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara